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Monday, January 31, 2005

Vote for Iraq 


An Iraqi girl holds up a sign bearing Iraq's flag with Arabic writing in it, which reads 'Vote for Iraq', during a celebration in central Baghdad, January 29, 2005. REUTERS/Ceerwan Aziz

Election Day in Iraq & What It Means 

From Adam Keiper, here is a Video slideshow of Iraqis going to the polls (in windows media)

Knight of the Mind notes some foes of the intervention in Iraq are coming around, and notes some of the crackpots (like at DU) aren't, reduced to opposing democracy itself now. Here is something I could have written:

That it was written by the Washington Post now, some 6 months after I've been saying the same thing, is some vindication. Vindiciation of our hope over the pessimists who in September declared that an election in January 2005 was 'too soon' (no, it was not soon enough!); or who kept insisting that Iraq not only was destined for a civil war, but that it would be the 'best thing' for Iraq. Who lied about the insurgents being patriots along the lines of 'minutemen' (eh, Michael Moore), rather than more accurately seeing them as murderous thugs who will kill anyone to reinstate a reign of terror on other Iraqis.

This blog has been dedicated to the proposition that the deposing Saddam Hussein from power and liberating Iraq was a just mission and, despite the cost in lives and treasue, a worthwhile mission for the long-term security of the United States, based on a simple calculation: Where tyranny lives, freedom is threatened. Saddam's tyranny and support for terrorism was a part of the "swamp" that bred Osama Bin Laden, Hamas, and other terror groups. We need freedom and democracy in the Middle East if we want to end the threat of global terrorism. The blog also knew, as Bush has declared in speeches, that the desire for freedom and representative Government is universal; nobody wants to be in chains, and it is narrowmindedness and cultural bigotry alone that presumes certain nations or peoples are unfit for democracy. Iraq, the birthplace 3 millenia ago of Hammorabi's "rule of law" is certainly ready for the freedom enjoyed in many other countries.

But the American forces that deposed Saddam could only create the environment - the opportunity has to be taken by Iraqis. Democracy cannot be imposed, sure, but it can be offered, which we did. Like teaching a child to ride a bike for the first time, you can hold it steady and give them a little 'push', but the rest is up to them.

Iraqis - 10 million of them - gave their answer to the question "Will Iraqis accept the opportunity of democracy we are giving them?" ... Yes! A ten million-voter-strong blue-finger salute saying yes to democracy. This will not lay to rest the naysayers or cynics, but the corner has been turned. Iraq now knows it can have elections, again and again and again, because they succeeded in having them in the most difficult of circumstances. Iraq knows it can overcome the terrorists, because they have built up security forces despite their threats. And we know now that our mission is assured of success.

Earlier in the fall, I discussed the 'tipping point' effect and surmised that of re-election of President Bush would be the tipping point that would deflate the insurgency and secure victory in Iraq, since it would indicate our firmness in resolve to stay the course. Yet the insurgency redoubled its efforts in the runup to this election. This happened because the insurgency was testing the other link; that linke, which the insurgency failed to break, was the will of the Iraqi people and leaders. The commitment to democracy by Iraqis proven to be strong. There are no weak links in the chain of the political process, despite the violence and threats.

This show of resolve by the people of Iraq means there is a strong foundation for a new political order in Iraq. the insurgency is as dead as the Confederacy was after Atlanta fell in Sept 1964, as dead as the Germans after the Ardennes offensive in Dec 1944 - it's just a matter of history playing out. The terrorists are ultimately doomed to fail; they have no political program, no goal now besides violence soley for the sake of making life in the new Iraq less tolerable. Iraq's new patriotic and united center will now build the new, liberated Iraq, as noted in raq urged to unite as world lauds breakthrough vote:

And so it shall be. Like the new kid on the bike, it will continue to look wobbly and askward at times, but if you can do it once, you've 'got it'. There is no turning back now. Iraq is now a liberated country. That is what Election Day in Iraq means. It is the Independence Day for the new Iraq.

A Liberated Iraq Votes 

A Victory for Democracy is what Peter Worthington calls it:

The UN applauds the election's success:

The article A Blue Finger Salute notes that the press came looking for a failed election - and didnt find it:

Larua Ingraham noted: "THE CYNICS AND PESSIMISTS ARE WRONG--AGAIN. ... A massive turnout in Iraq happened despite the violence, and despite the threats of terrorists. That is a amazing victory for democracy and the human spirit."

Wednesday, January 26, 2005

The Future of Iraq 

Belmont Club is the place to go for a number of linked essays on the future of Iraq: Debunking "The Nation" and other pre-election skeptics who want to pre-judge the election results as flawed ("The Lost Elections"). And most recently, reviewing the The Kissinger-Schultz article that was in the Washington Post.

I am content to wait for the elections to actually happen before I judge who will actually run Iraq, and most of the negative analysis is self-contadicting raising of unreasoned fears. We took too long to give Iraqis their own Government; then a Government was a 'puppet' and they needed elections; then we couldn't have elections, it was impossible; now unreasoned fears about whether the process of elections might yield something uncomfortable. All the while, the ground underneath is shifting ... it's not a matter anymore of if we acheive our objectives, it's simply the effort required to get there:

And let us be clear on the last point: A U.S. General has stated that we picked up or killed 15,000 insurgents in the last year, including 60 senior terror leaders in the last month. We might want to consider the possibility, that despite the daily tragedies and losses in Iraq (e.g., the 30 soldiers lost in the helicopter accident today), that our enemy is the one losing badly. Attacks are down since November, even in the runup to the elections which the terrorists declare they want to stop. Polls indicate 80% of Iraqis intend to vote, despite the terrorists' threats. The main result of the Sunni insurgency's campaign of terror is to reduce turnout in Sunni areas, so Sunni influence (especially pro-terrorist/baathist sympathizers) is less in the assembly ... this is a problem? The guerrillas and terrorists are losing the war in Iraq.

Photo Essay Tribute to Troops in Iraq 

If a picture is worth a thousand words, then the photo essay Until Then (in shockwave) has just written the book on the military heroes in Iraq. Well worth a gander.

Sunday, January 23, 2005

Media Bias on Iraq 

Hat tip to Mover Mike, a blog that recently linked to us. He noted Chrenkoff's Bad News from Iraq, an analysis of a days worth of news: The MSM's daily drumbeat of defeatism, death, destruction. In numbers, it works out to: Most of these stories are 'repeats', meaning a single story is reported in different venues. And so, this is a good indicator of the MSM echo chamber: What they reproduce and what they leave in the clipping file. the tally is stark - 1900 bombing stories and only 16 successes against insurgents - even though we are consistently having more success against insurgents than they are against either us or civilians.

For example, checking yahoo, AP and other sites, I can find no reporting on these captures of terrorists by the MNF:

We find though that AP is misreporting the U.S. ambassador's words to mention this capture, although they helpfully told us: Rebels who have vowed to disrupt the balloting blew up a designated polling station near Hillah south of Baghdad and stormed a police station in Ramadi west of the capital, authorities said. AFP's latest article is revealing U.S. Government secret information: The secret spying organization is designed to provide Rumsfeld with tools to conduct so-called human intelligence tasks, such as interrogation of prisoners and recruitment of foreign spies. Recruited agents may include "notorious figures" whose association with the US government would be embarrassing if revealed, the Post said, citing a Pentagon memo. Nice twist there, so if DoD denies the implications that something sordid is afoot the media can just tut-tut that of course the DoD would say that. btw, can we expect the same call from every Democrat on Capitol Hill for the head on the pike of the Government employees and journalists involved in this leak of top secret information? Or do they get a pass for revealing things that hurt the mission of the Bush administration?

Chrenkoff's tally supports LTC Tim Ryan's "Aiding and Abetting the Enemy" allegations of media bias. Yet beyond the tally, in each and every media story, it becomes even starker how much harm the media really is doing to the effort to liberate Iraq.

UPDATE: More Media Bias backlash: "Journalist smears Iraq's coming election".


Support Our Troops - Support the HEROES Act 

Via FR, Russ Vaughn of American Thinker tells us how we can support the troops in a significant way:

Saturday, January 22, 2005

Has Terror Leader Zarqawi been captured? 

There are enough persistent rumors in Iraq about Zarqawi being captured that the question came up in a news conference. When iraqi Interior Minister was asked if Zarqawi was in Iraqi security forces custody, NO COMMENT, was the answer, and then: "Let's see. Maybe in the next few days we will make a comment about it." Interesting, but not sure what it means. Even rumors and disinformation have a way of 'shaking the tree' of the terrorist cells, so the Iraqi Govt might let them run. Rumors are echos of truths, at best a 'where there's smoke there's fire' indicator, at worst, half-truths and lies garbed in plausibility:

Terrorists construct new Death Houses 

This is a read-between-the-lines story. In the AP story, Iraq Vows to Protect Voters From Attacks, we are told of a new wave of kidnappings: The previous wave of kidnappings, from April to September, was enabled by Fallujah being a terrorists haven. It held the infrastructure of houses where victims were kept, kept in chains and subjected to grisly horrors, although many were also kept in the 'triangle of death' area south of Baghdad, and some probably in Baghdad itself. Fallujah also had several car-bomb and suicide-bomb factories.

While overall attacks are lower than before Fallujah was retaken, the upswing, if real, is a sign that the terrorists have found new 'death houses' to fill with victims.

I wish safety for this unfortunate Brazilian civilian.


Terrorist campaign to disrupt elections is failing 

Strategy Page on the terrorists' failure to halt the elections:

Constant Striving 

Just a short note that there are many things going on in my life, a house move, and work and family are keeping me busy and are disrupting my blogging. I'll attend to this blog as best I can. Iraq is the fulcrum of human history at this moment, and the upcoming Iraqi election is the decisive inflection point for freedom and democracy in tomorrow's Middle East.

"Life is constant striving, the racing towards a horizon that we never reach. To face ourselves to the sun and go the distance is glory, but we never want the sun to set on us, to see the curtain fall on our time. So we strive on, building a life we never wish to see complete."


Thursday, January 20, 2005

A New Call for World Freedom 

Bush's Inaugural Speech is a clarion call for advancing freedom globally:

Tuesday, January 18, 2005

Election Hopes 

A Baghdad boy holding a campaign poster for Iraqi President Sheik al-Yawer:


Tale of Two Meetings 

Have you seen the video of the Saddam 'conference' where he took the top Baathists in Iraq, 500 of them, and read off the names of suspected disloyal members. Members were pulled from htat room, killed, and never heard from again. It was Saddam's first public party meeting, where he cemented his power. Saddam so enjoyed the meeting, he made a video of it and distributed it widely. He wanted people to fear him.

This meeting went differently: Iraq Rebels Vent Frustrations at 'Peace Conference'. At this meeting, a governor and other Iraqi officials asked terrorists and insurgents to come to a 'peace conference' to discuss laying down arms; they let the rebels do the talking:

Oh, the horror. Rebels actually have to share a room with the Americans. Or maybe this scene should reinforce the fact that Americans and Iraqi Government are genuinely trying to find ways to bridge the gap and help govern things better. What the rebels gave was a list of pathetic excuses: So 3am raids are bad? If a terrorist kills an Iraqi policeman, or helps mortar an army base, or lays and IED that kills civilians, what are the good times of day to arrest such a man? They won't sign something that says don't kill American and Iraqi security forces. Why? If you are not a terrorist, what is the problem with signing that? Why does the journalist call these rebels 'suspected rebels' if they openly refuse to sign a statement abjuring violence? etc. ... Yet the Americans didn't arrest or kill this people. They Listened.

Machiavelli said that a leader must be feared or loved, but it was better to be feared. Saddam followed the fear script to the letter. ... Americans and the Iraqi Government reject the politics of fear and so have the harder path: Creating genuine hope and prosperity and trust where all three are in short supply. I don't envy their task when they have stiff-necked former baathists to contend with.


Terrorists Murder Candidates for Office 

There is no doubt now that the terrorist aim is to kill Iraq's democracy: Suicide Bomber kills three Iraqis in attack on Shiite Party (SCIRI) headquarters and Assailants in southern Iraq gunned down two more candidates running in the Jan. 30 elections. They were in the political coalition of interim Prime Minister Ayad Allawi. Alaa is also the name of the blogger Mesopotamian, who most recently wrote "The Blood and the Dove": Iraq is facing a horrible evil: Decent people kidnapped; policemen murdered; advocates for democracy assassinated. If this was done by a Government, we would have a face and label to go with this evil. Faceless terrorism takes advantage of the way the media shifts blames and focuses on the negative and here-and-know, increasing fears and tensions while ignoring the perpetrators and the big picture. The Herd blames the very security forces that are under attack. This is like blaming your white blood cells for an infection. The blaming of Americans for everything bad is one ingredient that keeps the real terror masters off the hook while their acts remain in the headlines.

Leftist smear campaign gains headlines 

BBC gives credence to smears against the Iraq the Model blog. Still no word on how that Haifa Street photographer managed to photograph the terrorists' execution of election workers. Those guys are 'objective observers' but an Iraqi who dares express thanks to the U.S. is deemed suspect. Blech.

Given the news that the blogger Kos was on the Dean campaign payroll ... ( Jeez, how many votes did that looney leftist guy LOSE for the Democrats???) ... there is some irony to this smear.


Abducted Bishop of Mosul is freed 

I prayed and was ready for the worse, says the Bishop of Mosul. Basile Georges Casmoussa, the Syrian-Catholic Bishop of Mosul, had given himself over to God, praying, ready for the “possibility that it might be the end”. With such emotions, he spent hours in the hands of his captors.

In his interview, he speaks of 'no common ground' between Americans and Iraqi Christians. It's unfortunate that he fails to see the common ground in the hopes for elections -

Will the elections be the start of Iraq’s renaissance? "We hope so, but only if there is a great turnout in an atmosphere of security, which currently does not exist in some regions."


Sunday, January 16, 2005

Zarqawi Captured? 

So says Hammorabi blog. I don't believe it, but Hammorabi has solid reasoning, and it does line up with the rumors floating 2 weeks ago.

Media Found Aiding and Abetting 

An article by LTC Tim Ryan, CO, 2/12 Cav, 1st Cav Div, Aiding and Abetting the Enemy on Blackfive blog, is a must read. Long but very good. One of many points, consider the over-coverage of Abu Graib and the under-coverage of many of the atrocities committed by the terrorists and other insurgent groups:

Iraqi Police on the Front Lines Of Fight Against Terrorism 

Latest DoD report - Multinational Forces Round Up Insurgents, Caches is encouraging. Lots of weapons and insurgents are being swept up, killed and captured, by both coalition troops and Iraqi security forces that are growing more and more capable over time. Even to the point where Iraqi insurgents avail themselves of the improving Iraqi police services: That's funny, but the alertness of Iraqi police is serious business:

Document links Iranian intelligence to insurgent operations 

Hat tip to FR, carried this Iran Focus article - Iranian intelligence is coordinating with the terrorists insurgents in Iraq: This news follows a previous news report, where a senior Iraqi official Saturday accused Iran of channeling money into Iraq to "achieve sectarian objectives" and destabilize the country:

Saturday, January 15, 2005

Election Expectations and the Poker Game 

This comment struck me, and I remembered - George W Bush is known to be a good poker player ... The expectations of violence, failed elections have been built up so high, that what we should expect, a reasonably good turnout in Iraqi elections, may actually surprise the defeatist, skeptical media. Consider - Southack On Iraq: The Great Poker Surprise : The media is dutifully continuing the negative drumbeat. Here is the New York Times, in an article on Iraq's election security, drops in a point about election boycotts from Sunni tribes: Hmm, one tribe of 3 million souls? Really? When Sunni Arabs as a whole make up a bit over 20% of the total population of a bit over 25 million?

In other 'expectations', the Shia leader on the Sistani List, aka, refuting expectations that they want Iranian-style theocracy:

The media is looking for something spectacular - a spectacular attack, a bomb, or some big event to rock the election. Or a spectacular failure of Sunnis to show up. But the spectacular event may well be the election itself.

If the election succeeds, the media will look for the 'downside' of the election, that Iraqis pick politicians who don't walk lock-step with the U.S. That our 'victory' will be called hollow because soveriegn Iraq starts acting like an independent country. That's an error as well. When the violence ends, the true gratitude of the Iraqi people will well up. As an Iraqi blogger put it: "Love to all our friends in America and elsewhere: You shall be proud of the Iraqi people, your grateful friends." I will be proud when Iraqis defy the terrorists' threats and vote for their future, and my expectations are for election success and a dumbfounded media.


Mayhem at Mosul Mosque 

Religion of Peace Alert: "For the second consecutive day, Multi-National Forces from 1st Brigade, 25th Infantry Division (Stryker Combat Team), were engaged by anti-Iraqi insurgents from a mosque in northern Iraq."

Friday, January 14, 2005

Graner Guilty 

Justice was served by a U.S. military intent on doing the right thing and treating prisoners fairly and prosecuting abuses. The military court-martial found that Graner engaged in sick abuse not because he was ordered, but for 'jollies' and because he could. His actions led to a President being forced to apologize. With young men on the trigger on the front lines, in a zone where the wrong move affects our national image and credibility termendously, the military must have the highest discipline regarding how we treat civilians in these zone and how we treat those under our care. Even if they are terrorists who probably deserve alot worse than what was served to the Abu Graib prisoners.

Still waiting on justice being served to Saddam, Zarqawi, the terrorist insurgents, etc.

UPDATE: The comment about Gitmo prisoners reminds me of another case of justice yet to be served ... Asking why the architect of the murder of 3,000 Americans on 9/11, Sheik Khalid Muhammed, is not yet strung from a gibbet should be our main 'concern' for these Gitmo terrorists.


8 million Iraqis expected to vote in elections 

Many Iraqis are eager to vote:

Thursday, January 13, 2005

Iraqis support election, will go to polls 

Iraq the Model shares comments on the BBC Arabic forum about the election. They report, "89 of the participating Iraqis were strongly with the elections and determined to go to the boxes on the elections day in spite of the threats. 15 were against the elections, for different reasons."

Terrorist Who Directed Christmas Bombing Is Caught 

Ministry of interior squads have arrested the man behind the blowing up of a gasoline tanker in the Al-Mansur district on Christmas eve, a Saudi national. Iraqi security is busting up a terrorist cell which is connected to the Zarqawi network:

Wednesday, January 12, 2005

Plot to Kill Allawi Foiled 

Iraqi Army has foiled a plot to assassinate Iraqi Prime Minister Iyad Allawi. Good news not just in saving a life and the Iraqi leader, but in showing the capability of the nascent Iraqi security forces against the terrorists.

Democracy is winning.


Perspective  

The previous item gave me an excuse to visit Chrenkoff's blog, where I found this gem by Arthur Chrenkoff on a British historian: Elsewhere on the blog is an article from a guest blogger, Daniel Foty on Hammorabi's code and Sumerian civilization in Mesopotamia (i.e. modern-day Iraq): The 'rule-of-law' that we are helping to establish in Iraq can trace its lineage through history back to Sumerian legal codes 4,000 years old. We have been in Iraq, since March 20th 2003, Saddam has been out of power since April 10th 2003, less than 600 days. And elections, the first real elections in Iraq in over 40 years, are in 15 days. ... In a land where 'civilization' was born ... over a million days ago.

Perspective is needed indeed.


WW4 and The War Against the Bush Doctrine 

Norman Podhoretz has a new article, "The War Against World War IV", a most important followon to his earlier article, World War IV , that I linked to in August. Both articles are well worth reading for the 'big picture' understanding of how liberating Iraq fits in with American strategy in the global war on terror.

How it fits in can be encapsulated in this quote: "America has always been less secure when freedom is in retreat; America is always more secure when freedom is on the march." This is a quote from President Bush in his speech advocating greater democracy in the Middle East. The Bush doctrine has up-ended previous strategy of pushing for 'stability' as a failed and flawed diplomatic approach that left tyrants unfettered and bred resentment and terrorism.

Podhoretz explains how the "Bush doctrine" is to World War IV what Truman's containment policy was to the Cold War - epochal and "revolutionary" in its impact. He makes the case that the Bush doctrine is:
1. Succeeding, albeit in a manner the media fails to report honestly;
2. Has produced enemies and critics at home and abroad who will not change their mind (realists and isolationists of the left and right);
3. That Bush will continue the Bush doctrine in his second term; he mentions key decisions, like keeping Rumsfeld and not bowing to pressure from Blair on Palestine, as indicators that Bush will stay the course.

I concur with his predictions on how success in Iraq will be mis-reported as badly as the progress and challenges so far have been:

Podhoretz mentions two bloggers to make his point about Iraqi news - Chrenkhoff and Iraq the Model - both providing accurate, excellent and positive reports on Iraq's emerging democracy.

Monday, January 10, 2005

A new neighbor on Haifa Street 

82nd Airborne moves in to a former Saddam palace on Haifa Street in Baghdad, helping to pacify the neighborhood:

Syrian fingerprints on the insurgency 

Dore Gold on "Why Syria Backs Iraqi Terrorists". He notes the "Syrian fingerprints are all over the insurgency." hmmm, training camps in Syria for the insurgents. Wasn't that enough to invade Afghanistan over in 2001? Isn't Syria playing with fire here?

The Importance of Clean Elections 

Yes, they failed to steal an election in the Ukraine, but it seems somebody succeeded in stealing an election in Washington State.

This explosive email that was sent to the Rossi campaign (Republican Governor candidate) was originally posted on Sound Politics. It's an inside election worker's view that validates the suspicion this was a stolen election.

As John Fund has written:

At best, the margin of error in the race is larger than the margin of difference (differences of under 100 votes, 2 counts won by Rossi, but the final vote won by Gregoire). At worst, this was a stolen election, with King county corruption trumping a squeaker. In either case, the Ukrainian 'revote' option has been put forward, and most Washington residents seem to support the idea as a way out of the electoral mess.

It's fine to talk about the importance of elections in Iraq or the West Bank, it is noble to oppose vote-stealing in the Ukraine, but it is hollow if we don't preserve clean and honest elections here in the US.


Iraqi Blog Roundup 

Hammorabi on the emergence of an anti-terrorist squad.

Neurotic Iraqi Wife is a blog I just found. Interesting, an answer about her hubby in the green zone and what it's like:

Left some comments on the blog Kurdo's World, a blog by a pro-separatist Kurd now lately upset about some American/Iraqi army attacks on a Kurdish village. On the plus side, he says he does plan to vote.

Religion of Peace ?!? 

Another installment of "Muslim Clerics Gone Wild" ...

Imam of Yemeni mosque charged with funding Bin Laden

Washington Times columnist de Borchgrave recounts the Muslim clerics' reaction to the tsunami:

Trading Punches up to the point of decision 

Belmont Club's analysis Trading Punches is very good. The Syrian connection tothe insurgency is discussed, as is both the volume (down) and violence per attack (up) on the insurgent side.

But most interesting is the analysis of the American response in what will likely be the new Iraqi reality post January 30th:

After the election, Iraq will be governed by a Kurdish-Shiite-based government that will owe little to the Sunni minority if it sits out, except whatever is required in the interests of stability. Going on the offensive against Syria, or threatening to, is a way to pry Syrian support away from the terrorist insurgency. The best defense is a good offense, and that may be the next phase of this evolving conflict.

If that can be done, the conflict will be wound down satisfactorily and Iraq will then, finally be liberated ... As Belmont notes, we are approaching a new decision point. But before then, we have an election to hold, the critical decision-point of the Iraqis.


Death meets Iraq Vet at New York Nightclub 

I don't know what to make of this sad story, let alone the biased headline. "Iraq veteran shot dead ahead of departure for tsunami relief" says AFP. With a headline like that, you'd be sure to think he was killed in action In Iraq. Nope, but thanks AFP for making it sound like a victim of a nightclub altercation was another Iraq war casualty: See, if they had a bias against New York city instead of Iraq deployments, they'd say it more like: "New York nightclub more dangerous than Iraq duty for Army Sargeant".

Sunday, January 09, 2005

U.S. military kills terrorist and his family 

And here's the question - was it an accident?

GOOD NEWS FROM IRAQ! 

... something we need with the unrelenting negativity of the media on Iraq.

It looks like we are managing to roll up the Zarqawi terrorist organization, with ZARQAWI'S COMMAND STRUCTURE DETERIORATING:


UN Official says vote must go forward 

UN official joins the chorus from Iraq and the U.S. administration saying the vote can and must go forward on January 30th. UN Official: Iraq Must Vote

The Salvador Option 

Iraqi Government and the Pentagon are looking at a new approach to defeating the terrorists: Kill the terrorists and their supporters, using paramilitary squads to do the dirty work. Use Iraqi locals to gather intelligence. Let the hunters become the prey. This strategy of killing the insurgents and also going after their supporters is an essential component in counter-insurgency warfare, but we have been less effective in Iraq because of the 'kid gloves' approach not just to sympathizers but to terrorists themselves. That imbalance leads to a dangerous situation: A police chief who fights the insurgents can get targetted and killed by them; but if he co-operates with the insurgents or 'looks the other way' he only risks losing his job, not his life.

We have yet to execute anyone for terrorist activities. Yet we have the deputy emir of Zarqawi's network from Mosul in our custody. After we extract the intelligence we can, why not execute this terrorist? Why not execute that Briton found with explosives on his hand, the terrorist who claimed to be a 'peace worker'? Why not execute the men found with IED materials, or mortars, or found to be funding the killers?

Alas, the news today is of targetted assassinations by the terrorists - "The deputy police chief of Samarra, Col. Mohammed Mudhafir, was killed in a drive-by shooting Sunday." Whereas the media reports only mistaken military actions, killing bystanders. This is the worst of both worlds.

Consider now this CETNCOM report:

Will these 3 "high value" targets have their lives spared by our justice process? Will they fare better or worse than the deputy police chief in Samarra, a town where the insurgents previously had intimidated the police into ineffectiveness? How will their treatment compare with the 40 ING soldiers taken from a bus and executed at the side of the road a few months back? The asymmetry of the fate of terrorists in our hands and the fate of Iraqi patriots in their hands is the strongest force that drives Iraqi bystanders away from aiding the fight against terrorism. It's time to change the equation.

Saturday, January 08, 2005

MEMRI's election analysis 

MEMRI detailed analysis of the election, the party lists, the process and the procedures.

It also described an historical precedent:

Quiz for the media-aware, which Bush administration member was flagellated by the press in 2004 for making this same analogy?

Friday, January 07, 2005

Time to listen to the Iraqis 

Michael Rubin laments security problems but says, "The worsening atmosphere is driving the Iraqi desire to vote." Rubin blames coddling of Baathists for the problems currently faced - a controversial claim (many see it the other way around, that dibanding the army and dispossessing the baathists gave them more incentive for insurgent activity). History will tell us which side of the gamble was the right bet, but the jury is still out on it. But Rubin is right about one thing: The Democratic vote, whether light or heavy, will in any case be a rejection of baathist power.

UPDATE: David Warren on the Shia influence in the Iraqi elections.


Terrorist admits Syria and Iran support insurgency 

Terrorist admits that Syria and Iran aid their efforts:

A Republic, If you can keep it 

Tom Friedman on a good day is about 90% right, and today was a good day for him:

We cannot liberate Iraq, and never could. Only Iraqis can liberate themselves, by first forging a social contract for sharing power and then having the will to go out and defend that compact against the minorities who will try to resist it. Elections are necessary for that process to unfold, but not sufficient. There has to be the will - among Shiites, Sunnis and Kurds - to forge that equitable social contract and then fight for it.

In short, we need these elections in Iraq to see if there really is a self-governing community there ready, and willing, to liberate itself - both from Iraq's old regime and from us. The answer to this question is not self-evident. This was always a shot in the dark - but one that I would argue was morally and strategically worth trying.

Because if it is impossible for the peoples of even one Arab state to voluntarily organize themselves around a social contract for democratic life, then we are looking at dictators and kings ruling this region as far as the eye can see. And that will guarantee that this region will be a cauldron of oil-financed pathologies and terrorism for the rest of our lives.

He included the NYTimes-obligatory kick-in-the-shins to the Bush administration. (3rd to last paragraph.) I'm suspicious that he throws that in there for the editors, or maybe the Bush-hating readership. The column is improved by deleting those side comments. The essential wisdom of the column is that, of course, only Iraqis can make a democratic Iraq work, and the elections are not the end-goal but the starting-point of that process. The U.S. deposing Saddam has offered an historic opporutnity, but it will take Iraqi patriots to keep and hold the democratic state together. As Franklin replied when asked what the U.S. Constitutional convention had wrought: "A Republic, if you can keep it"


FM Zebari and PM Allawi on the elections 

The terrorists continue to inflict violence to derail the elections, feeding fear in the Iraqi population and feeding a story of chaos the cynical media is only too happy to share. Yet there is a steadfast determination to not let the process get derailed. Reuters leaves for their last paragraph the best quote: "For a year or more we have heard that Iraq was going to disintegrate and indulge in civil war ... None of that has happened. In my view this election will consolidate national unity," Zebari told Reuters during a visit to Amman.

Allawi said he expected the number of attacks would rise before the Jan. 30 vote and called the decision on prolonging the state of emergency a precaution. He blamed former members of Saddam Hussein's Sunni-dominated regime for the continuing violence. "Saddam's followers, who have intensely shed the blood of our people and army, are still in action clandestinely, allying with a bunch of criminals, murderers and terrorists who are the enemies of our people and our progress," Allawi said Thursday during a ceremony to mark the national Army Day holiday.

Foreign ministers of neighboring countries issued a statement Thursday saying they "stood strongly behind the interim government of Iraq" and "urged all segments" of society to participate in the elections. The call was backed by Jordan, a Sunni-dominated neighbor that had previously supported postponing the election.


Wednesday, January 05, 2005

Free Iraqis Speak Out 

On a message Board, the "Star from Mosul" blogger Najma is responded to by Free Iraqis correcting her complacent view on the Jihadists:

"Najma has fallen pray to the prideful extremists in our country intent on rejecting progress in an effort to preserve Islam. Her glowing description of the Jihadis reveal her obvious slant. She props them up as defenders of the faith, good people intent on freeing Iraq from the vile oppression of the west. Unfortunately she has been duped. The Jihadis use occupation as a pretense for fighting a larger battle to prevent western cultural influence in Iraq. Most countries beg at the door step of the west hoping for the military and economic assistance that is being offered to Iraq. Yet the pride-fullness of the Jihadis prevents them from accepting external help. The Jihadis would rather submit all Iraqis to suffering than reconcile the cultural imperatives of Islam with those of the west. The result if the Jihadis succeed will be that Iraq will be left in the dust economically and technologically. Jihadis are too short sited to realize that Iraq's only hope for peace and prosperity (and the survival of Islam!) is to enter the community of nations and begin developing an economy not soley reliant on oil. At this pace the remainder of Iraq's oil reserves will be spent on undoing the destruction wrought by the insurgency, by the time Iraq has rebuilt itself the West will have started moving away from oil as the center of its economy. When the oil reserves are exhausted and/or the west finds alternates sources of energy middle eastern societies and Islam will vanish into the sands from which they came. Iraq must seize the opportunity presented by the west to rebuild itself into a strong economically and culturally independent nation. We must rebuild our economy around endeavors other than oil production instead of wasting it on fighting a hopeless war rooted in intolerance. Iraq will only know peace and prosperity when young men and women like Najma are given the opportunity to find meaningful work here in Iraq. Najma must be able to pursue a career in computers here instead of being shipped to America or Europe were she will forget our rich cultural heritage. That will only happen when we stop our petty bickering with the Americans and work together to build a better Iraq. Personally, I am quite pleased at the American's arrival they have a deep respect for religion and strive to preserve its role in their society, they have not confined religion to their churches or homes like the Europeans. Iraq should seek to emulate this practice so that we may preserve our great cultural history while advancing economically and technologically."

"I agree with Nebil. Najma is brainwashed. She has substituted Saddam's propaganda with that of her local cleric's. This group-think mentality is wide spread in Iraq. If you read other Iraqi blogs you will find evidence that this is true. Iraqis have not learned to think for themselves so they rely on others (clerics, media, and others to do it for them). Iraq can only blame itself for its current problems. Shortly after the occupation everything was fine. The Americans were welcomed in Iraq. Then when things didn't start improving immediately we began to complain. We began to blame Americans for all of our problems without making any attempt to solve them ourselves. If we wanted an end to the violence we would stop engaging in it or hunt down those foreigners who foment it. To those detractors like Rachel, John, and others that coddle us and treat us like children I spit on you. You are the reason Iraq is a mess. Iraqis must learn some self respect and not to blame others for our problems. We have been taken care of for to long. All Iraqis should have rebelled against Saddam in the 90's when we had the chance. Instead we hesitated and hoped for the Americans to intervene and we where slaughtered. If we don't stand up and fight for ourselves and our culture we run the risk of destroying ourselves in a horrific civil war or being put under the thumb of another dictator. I am grateful to America for liberating us from Saddam. It is my hope that one day Iraq will be as powerful as Germany, Japan, or South Korea so that we can contribute to the world peace and prosperity as equals. I dream of the day when America will come to us for help and we will have the opportunity to repay our debt as free men and women."

"i am a iraqi national guardmans. my broter was shoot by insurgents. i fight with americans does that make me and my broter enemies. ask this question to you. did my broter deserved to die! i fight these people for all iraqis. they are not true muslims. they are evil people with no care for me or you. americans work with us to make iraq better they care not like insurgents." - Tariq


An Abuse of Media Power  

Melanie Phillips exposes the British media's agenda-driven bias on the Iraq war. This is a must-read article that could be applied to the rest of the media, Reuters/AP/AFP/CNN and New York Times, etc. She explains also the source of the European antipathy to the US on this, driven by an agenda that has nothing to do with Iraq, and fomented by the same anti-semitism that drives much of the Jihadist mindset today:

Britain is gripped by an unprecedented degree of irrationality, prejudice and hysteria over the issues of Iraq, the terrorist jihad and Israel. All three are intimately linked; all three, however, are thought by public opinion to be linked in precisely the wrong way. This is because all three have been systematically misreported, distorted and misrepresented through a lethal combination of profound ignorance, political malice and ancient prejudices. This systematic abuse by the media is having a devastating impact in weakening the ability of the west to defend itself against the unprecedented mortal threat that it faces from the Islamic jihad.


"We officially call them terrorists"- Iraq intel chief 

Iraq's intelligence chief Maj. Gen. Mohammed Abdullah al-Shahwani speaks on the Iraqi terrorist insurgency to Arab newspaper Asharq Al-Awsat:

"We officially call them terrorists," he said. "They are between 20,000 and 30,000 armed men operating all over Iraq, mainly in the Sunni areas where they receive moral support from about 200,000 people." Al-Shahwani said the men, who are well-organized and trained, include former Baath party members, some Islamic militant groups and former army members who lost their jobs.

Al-Shahwani said terrorist attacks would negatively affect the Jan. 30 election because some people would not be able to reach polling stations. "Whether these attacks would increase or decrease, this depends on the elections result, but our expectation, as a security organ, is that the attacks will recede and end in one year," he said.


Tuesday, January 04, 2005

Spiting Your Liberators 

The Stockholm syndrome reaches a new level. Via FR, a former prisoner of terrorists double-crosses those who rescued him: Syrian driver sues US army staff for alleged torture in Iraq. Or was this baathist driver always a double-crosser?

Here is the awful thing the Marines did to this man: Marines rescue Syrian driver captured in August: A Syrian found handcuffed in Fallujah and rescued by U.S. Marines was kidnapped with two French journalists in August, and has told authorities he last saw the Frenchmen a month ago ...

The Syrian told military officials he was released just ahead of the assault on Fallujah. Even though he was handcuffed, his captors told him to swim across the Euphrates River to escape. He couldn't swim, he said, and didn't try.

On Wednesday, U.S. and Iraqi forces found what commanders are calling a "hostage slaughterhouse" where foreign captives were held and possibly killed. The small house in Fallujah's northern Jolan neighborhood had bloodstained mattresses and straw mats on the floor. Military officials said they found hostages' documents, CDs showing captives being killed and black clothing like that worn by militants in videos.

In another building in Fallujah, troops also discovered an Iraqi man chained to a wall, the military said. The man, who was shackled at the ankles and wrists, bruised and starving, told Marines he was a taxi driver abducted 10 days ago and that his captors had beat him with cables. There is no word on whether the latter man, found starving and abused, will be filing suit against his former tormentors the terrorist 'resistance'. Nope. Only the U.S. Army presents a rich target for back-stabbing leeches and lawyers.

Here is the punchline on the implausibility of the claims - he wasnt under US custody. Within 24 hours of being found on November 12th, he was in front of reporters, telling his story, a story of how he was handcuffed while in captivity by terrorists: "Verges said his client was beaten by the US troops who found him at Fallujah. He said Jundi was tortured with electric shocks and subjected to mock executions by the US soldiers. In press conferences after his release Jundi made no mention of his alleged mistreatment."


Killing Terrorists  

In USMC news, Marine sniper credited with longest confirmed kill in Iraq, killing a terrorist from 1,000 yards away: "Hancock, a 35-year-old activated reservist and police officer from Bryan, Texas, has been a Marine Corps sniper since 1992." Note well - a Texan and a reservist.

From the jaded journalist's perspective, such skills seem impotent. This Economist article pegs those American soldiers being culturally-insensitive brutes losing hearts and minds:

"In Ramadi, the marines have detained a smaller number of foreigners, including a 25-year-old Briton two weeks ago, who claimed to be pursuing “peace work” but whose hands were coated with explosives. Pleased to find an enemy who understood English, marines say they queued up to taunt him; one told him he would be gang-raped in Abu Ghraib."

Ah, those ugly Americans ... It would have been nice to find out who this Briton was, his religion (Jihadist or anarchist?), and why he was found with explosives coating his hands in a foreign land that insurgents are terrorizing. But such questions are not asked. The insurgency to the media class is an implacable and omnipotent force of nature, that daren't be questioned. Only the actions of the coalition, actions of mere mortals, are worthy of second guessing.

And second-guessing the impotence of the coalition response to the insurgency is an art the media has practiced since the Americans were 'bogged down' in sandstorms. While crediting the American soliders as resourceful' , they are also called "clumsy", their reports "absurdly sunny". Consider the conclusions about Fallujah, where they layer positive facts with negative speculation to turn a clear-cut military coalition victory into a seeming confusing morass.

Facts: (1) "The Americans estimate that around 1,600 of the enemy were killed in the battle to retake the town; several times that many are thought to have fled, mostly to Baghdad and the northern parts of Babil province." (2) "Among the treasures found in the town were 400 caches of arms and an ice-cream van kitted out as a mobile car-bomb workshop. (3) "In the last three weeks of November, when the battle began, the incidence of car bombs across Iraq dipped from 44 a week, to 33, then 22." (4) "In Ramadi, as in many troubled places, the assault on Fallujah was marked by a sudden spike in violence, followed by a relative lull. After a bloody September and October—when the marines faced up to nine IEDs a day and fought street battles with, they reckon, scores of insurgents at a time, and when most of Ramadi's inhabitants fled—the past month has yielded roughly one IED every few days, and a handful of serious ambushes." (5) "insurgents no longer control any town outright."

Then they layer on this speculation: " It is unclear how much this really set back the insurgents. The many spectacular rebel attacks since the recapture of Fallujah show that the Americans have not, as their officials claim, “broken the back of the insurgency”. "

Let's recap: Killed 1,600 terrorists; eliminated an enemy safe haven; reduced violence in the largest city Ramadi) in the same province, Al Anbar; saw a dip in car bombs (despite the spectacular attacks, we saw similar attacks in previous months). Despite the spectacular attacks, the evidence practically screams that the insurgency has lost momentum.

But the article is right to say the insurgency has not had its back broken. What we learned from Fallujah was two things: Number one, the backbone of the 'insurgency' is former Saddam henchmen and Baathists, allied with crazed fundamentalist Jihadists (a small portion of which are foreigners), and funded from Syria. This last point is key to understanding both why crushing Fallujah would not eliminate the insurgency, but would set it back and/or change its nature, and why Mosul is becoming more of a problem. By eliminating Fallujah, the insurgency is going back closer to their other bases and 'supply lines'. Which means the western provinces and Mosul and Tal Afar.

This being the case, demolishing Fallujah and/or retaking it would not eliminate the insurgency. The continued violence is depressing but not unexpected, given that.

They sneer: "American commanders have abandoned the pretence of winning the love of Iraqis ahead of the scheduled vote." Ah, so that reconstruction aid was a 'pretence'?


Ali, Free Iraqi 

I'm taking a break from my blogging break to let you know that ITM's Ali has a new blog. He explains that his 'break' with his brothers was over concern for their safety due to the high-profile visit to the US. Given the killings of democratic activists in Iraq, it is not an unreasonable fear. We wish safety and good health to the Fadhil brothers and all the pro-freedom and pro-democracy Iraqis... and a comment on that blog indicates that most Iraqis fit that description: "BTW, what did you think of this from Powerline: Haider Ajina adds further support for that view with this translation of poll results that appeared in the Iraqi Arabic newspaper Alsabaah this morning. The poll was of 4,974 Iraqis living in and around Baghdad:

Will the security problems cause you to?
Not come out and vote the day of elections = 18.3%
Come out and vote the day of elections = 78.3%
No opinion = 3.4%

Do you support military action against the terrorists?
Yes = 87.7 %
No = 11.1%
Don’t Know = 1.2%"

With more killings by insurgents of good Iraqi citizens and leaders, like Baghdad Governor Ali al-Haidari and his bodyguards, the best news is when insurgents kill only themselves. Some charts on the insurgent vs Coalition Soldier casualty count:


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