Archives
Site Feed

Site Meter

Contact

Thursday, December 30, 2004

Blogging Hiatus 

I've been occupied with buying and selling a home and so will be unable to blog for the time being. We are handling mortgage brokers, real estate agents, builders, while at the same time fixing our current home to get it ready to sell. Indeed, I am typing now through paint-encrusted hands. So while we are going through the many details of buying one house and selling the one we've got, I'll be out of pocket, speaking the language of .... 2870 Sq ft in Austin, TX, grt neighborhood, walk to neighborhood pool, oversized greenbelt lot with oaks, fig and pecan trees, 5 BR/3BA/3 living/2 dining areas/2 car garage, updates throughout, $287,000 ... at least until it sells. :-)

Happy New Year.


Sunday, December 26, 2004

The Syrian Connection 

Reuters in their daily toil and trouble report mentions 2 significant finds. No, not the New York Times' latest attempt to make cracks in the Iraqi and U.S. relationship. No, the finds are more evidence of the Syrian connection to the terrorist groups.

First, proof that insurgents are getting training - in Syria:

Second, assassinations targetting directly those politicians who are exposing the Syrian connect and standing up for Democracy in Iraq: Now why would insurgents be particularly incensed at a democratic politician tying the terrorists to Syria? I am reminded of Katherin Hephurn's comment: "You can say anything you want about me, as long as it isn't true."

Friday, December 24, 2004

Christmas Eve visit to Iraq 

Rumsfeld visits the troops in Iraq to thank them and boost morale, and the soldiers grill him on ... the biased media: Not sure how to do that... AFP billed Rumsfeld comments as painting a picture of a 'bleak' Iraq, although Rumsfeld said: "It is very important for us to see that the sacrifices and efforts of the last two years should start bearing fruit and harvest in Iraq and the free world. We want to think big," Rumsfeld said before his closed-door talks with Yawar. "The situation is tough but there is no doubt in my mind that we will succeed. It's just a matter of time."

UPDATE 12/26: Via Free Republic, the American Army Captain behind the 2Slick blog has an interview on RealMedia:

US Army Captain Rick aka 2Slick says: "Our Enemies are Using the (American) Media Against Us"

A Historic Moment For All Iraqis 

Says Prime Minister Allawi, laying out the programs for his "al-Iraqiya" slate and pointing to the progress of the interim Government in preparing for elections and improving the economy:

Thursday, December 23, 2004

An Edict Went Forth .... & How the Syriac Christians Also Saved Civilization 

In going through old papers I found an Interesting Article is about how Syriac Christians met the challenge of Islam in the 8th and 9th centuries. A few things struck me as supporting my earlier comments about the pressure put on Christians to convert to Islam of suffer the fate of 2nd class members of society or worse. (This is called Dhimmitude by Bat Ye'or.) A story about an occupied people, under a burden of oppression, having to register at their place of birth - kind of like the Gospel nativity accounts.

History is subject to as much polemics as the report of the news of yesterday; it is said that "History is the polemic of the victor." The Syriac Christian point of view is a neglected one:

This perspective can tell us much about the true origins of Islam. It presented a challenge both theologically and a challenge to the community. The author notes that In other words, the pro-Islamic view of polemic historians like Karen Armstrong is eyewash, or a white-wash. Rather, what the Syriac sources show is that from around 700 AD on, heavier burdens were imposed upon the communities to convert: Such pressures and indignities were an inducement to conversion: We are told in the West that we learned much from Islam. That is true. The Christian West in 11th and 12th centuries was winning back Spain for Christendom and finding marvelous libraries in places like Toledo, Spain, with texts never before known to Western medeival scholars. It was such a find of Aristotle's books that led to the greatness of St Thomas Aquinas, who wove the empiricism of Aristotle with the Scholasticism of previous theologians to develop his Summa Theologica and other works.

But where did Arab Muslim scholars get those Greek texts? Arabic was not even a written language before the time of Muhammed and according to Hadith, Muhammed himself was not literate and his preaching was transmitted orally and recorded only later. The texts were transmitted to the Arabic Caliphate via Syriac scholars, who in turn had them from the Byzantine Empire, the link back to Greco-Roman civilization:

The book reviewed in the article mentions: There are many examples of the great scientists of the following century, a time when Islam was the zenith of civilizations in the world. For example, this Islamic science article mentions one of the great Arabic finds - Euclid's Elements: Some of the prominent scientists of the 9th century in the Arab caliphate were Christians or literate in Syriac. From the same Islamic science article: The author notes: "out of the eight physicians whom G. Sarton mentioned as the most important, six were Christians, most probably Nistorians. Of the two remaining, one was a true Arab, the other a Persian. A great part of the activity of these men was devoted to translating Greek medical texts, especially those of Hippocrates and Galen, into Syriac and into Arabic. All of these translators were Christians..."

The list goes on. Where was this knowledge transmitted? At the capital of the Abbasid Empire, Baghdad. Some gloss over the Christian/Syriac contribution and make the Islamic/Arab contribution seem original. But Arab Christian Literature article points out:

Edessa now is Urfa, in southwestern Turkey. Nisibis is near the Tigris in northern Iraq; what once was Assyrian lands, then Christian Syrian; Jundi-Shapur, in western Iran near Baghdad (although I've yet to find a map to locate it). These Syriac Christians had churches and monasteries throughout this region, in the ancient cities like Tikrit.

So this hardy band were a crucial link in the chain of transmitting civilization, keeping the lights on during the "Dark Ages" that descended upon Europe in the fall of the Western Roman Empire and the decline of Eastern Roman empire. The ancients texts were transmitted from Greek to Syriac to Arabic then back to greek by the middle-ages scholars.

These "Syriac Christians who Saved Civilization" are forgotten by some historical accounts, but the people live on as a tiny minority in the cradle of civilization, including in present-day Iraq.

AND NOW, as Paul Harvey would say, you know the rest of the story.

Good Will To You & Peace on Earth.


Wednesday, December 22, 2004

Juan Cole's McCarthyism 

Don't you hate it when your browser explodes at the wrong time? I had written many pithy comments about Juan Cole's McCarthyite charges against the "Iraq the Model" bloggers, and Iraq the Model's defense. Apparently, Dr Cole thinks you have to be in the pay of the U.S. Government to express gratitude to American intevention and pro-democracy views. There seems to be more tolerance for terrorists than for Bush supporters amongst the dark corners of the Left.

Anyway, the browser exploded, so my essay is kaput. But just google "Venona" if you want to know the punchline: McCarthy was right; there were Soviet spies in the U.S. Government. Leftist like Dr Cole now practice what they accused falsely an old enemy of doing - using phony guilt-by-association charges.


Deadly Terrorist Attack on U.S. base 

Side Note: I am light-blogging, due to holidays and a house move. So I've not been on top of the latest news like Command Post has - Blair visits Baghdad, French hostages are released, and deadly Mosul attack.

In the wake of it USA Today calls for a reality check. "Resolving the mess in Iraq requires the administration to be both resolute and realistic." Fair enough, and fair to question progress on training up Iraqi security forces. The reality is we have a despicable enemy who murders whomever for an agenda that is little more than a call for bloodshed. This attack of terrorism killed soldiers, civilians, Iraqis and Americans:

The terrorism is looking more and more like the Palestinian Hamas-style terror attacks. It was assumed to be a rocket attack early on, but probably was a suicide bombing attack (like the attacks that Hamas used to kill Israeli teenagers in discos and pizza parlors): Why go this route? For the terrorists, because it 'works'.

More helpful realism would point out Fragmented leadership of the Iraqi insurgency, how much we know about them, how much the insurgency is the 'shadow Government' of the Saddam loyalists spreading violence, and how effective they have been at 'winning through intimidation'. Then we can work from there:

The insurgency today is the aftermath of the 'catastrophic success' of the 3 week drive to Baghdad, that left the Batthists neither dead nor surrendering, but simply 'gone to ground'. Because of Syrian safe havens, Baathist money, and Arabist propoganda, it survives.

There are two choices in such cases - destroy or co-opt. The U.S. military has done both in places. We've mentioned the Colonel who got the Saddam army officers signed up as a consulting board to 'bring in' potential enemies; and we've had sweeps. But the insurgency survives because neither avenue has worked fully; terrorists remain at large, and Sunnis who might be induced to work with us are either encouraged or intimidated in the other direction. Moreover, as the article cited earlier points out, the cells of the organization are fairly small and dispersed; the actions taken, either suicide bombings, assassinations, roadside bombs, mortar attacks, mostly are small-team acts of violence.

The ultimate one-two punch to both co-opt and destroy is Iraqi security and better intelligence. The intelligence is needed to defeat the enemy tactically and destroy it cell by cell. Iraqi forces would defeat the enemy strategically, by exposing the thin layer of propaganda about 'resistance' as hollow. This is resistance to democracy, not the U.S. To defeat it at the strategic level, we must also call it what it is: Terrorism, because terrorism only 'works' long-term when people pretend there is legitimacy behind such wanton violence.


Monday, December 20, 2004

Terrorists murder election workers on Baghdad street 

No words can express ... The terrorists want to kill Iraqi democracy. Reuters says: "A gunman, left, shoots and kills a man lying in Baghdad's Haifa Street after being pulled from a car Sunday, Dec. 19, 2004. The man at right on his knees was executed moments later, along with another man not shown in picture. About 30 militants hurling hand grenades and firing machine guns attacked a car carrying five people employed by the commission's Baghdad office and tried 'to drag them out,' said Adel al-Lami, a member of the Independent Electoral Commission of Iraq." Three were killed, and two escaped.


Rockets seized from terrorists 

Iraq security forces seize rockets smuggled from abroad says PM Allawi.

Sunday, December 19, 2004

Sectarian Violence 

I am reading the news and run across "A bomb ripped through a Shiite mosque"... The news of today from Iraq? No, June 1, 2004, in Karachi, Pakistan. I've been rifling through old newspapers that I was throwing out (an interesting way to look back on the year), and found that item. That day, 16 people were killed in the Karachi mosque blast, said to be retaliation by Sunni militants for the killing of a Sunni cleric. Story says, "Karachi has been the scene of recent sectarian violence and terrorist attacks, including a May 7 bombing that killed 20 people." The violence is fuled by Jihadist militants. In other news that day, the Saudis were unable to explain how 3 gunmen escaped after a standoff.

Belmont Club covers the context around the bombings in Iraq. The terrorists sink to any level to sow seeds of violence, and they are trying to engineer a Shiite-Sunni civil war:

Failed to ignite a civil war, yes, but not for lack of trying. Two car bombs, one in Karbela and one in Najaf, killed 60 and injured many more, and a daylight killing of election workers on a Baghdad street. The Shiite response has been consistent, to avoid getting baited into sectarian violence. DoD points out that the car bomb creates the illusion of a strong insurgency, when in fact, such typres terrorism does not indicate (nor require) support among the people.

The insurgency has one supporter, and the elections have an opponent:

Never mind the irony of a genocidal maniac guilty of ethnic cleansing preaching against 'sectarian divisions' - the statement is as clear as a confession of guilt. Just as his henchmen are trying to ignite such violence with terrorism, he shows the political hand they are playing: Create a civil war, blame the U.S. for it, and ride the way of pan-Arabism to return to the good old days of Baathists in charge.

In this report from Kurdistan, it is explained how it's done by them. The autonomous 3 provinces under Kurdish governance have been peaceful because they were not governed by the Baathists; the Kurdish authorities have had a continuing governing presence since 1992. The security forces didn't have to get rebuilt from the ground up. So, with just a few counterexamples, the region has been free of violence.

If one is to put one's finger on the single most important element in the insurgency, it is the fact that enough of the 'henchmen', the middle-managers if you will of Saddam's baathist regime, took part in the insurgency. Where Saddam's cronies are strongest, i.e., the Sunni triangle, the insurgency took hold. It is strongest in 3 particular provinces of Iraq's 18 provinces. The second most important fact of the insurgency is that it is supported by so few Iraqis (even those who may have a criticism or opposition to U.S. in Iraq.) This 'insurgency' succeeds as terrorism, but continues to fail to achieve any objectives beyond bloodshed. So in the end, the terrorist blasts in Iraq were not sectarian violence at all, but just violence. Saddam was an equal-opportunity killer, and the terrorists too are following his example.


Friday, December 17, 2004

The Quotable Rumsfeld 

Just in case you hadn't noticed, I am a fan of Don Rumsfeld. So, for fellow Rummy fans ... Rumsfeld's Greatest Quotes.

What the Media Gets Wrong and Why 

If you think the media coverage is biased to the point of dishonesty, You are not alone: This is a good column on the blatant agenda-driven journalism in Iraq war coverage.

Another powerful retort, from an Iraqi War veteran defending military actions on armor for the troops is: What the Media Got Wrong about Spc. Wilson and Secretary Rumsfeld. This GI lays out the case that in war, you adapt to the situation, and that the DoD is doing a very effective job of adapting with regards to up-armoring Humvees where they are needed. Once again, we see this irony, which was exposed in the previous post as well: Those voices claiming that Rumsfeld needs to listen to his troops are themselves not listening to what the GIs who have served there are saying!

I am frankly disappointed that the press has not let up after the election. They are letting go of Bush, but not the administration team. Why this huge media blowup over an issue that is being properly addressed already? Going after 'weakened' members of a disfavored administration happens due to the 'wounded zebra' phenomenon. Just like in the nature shows, the predatory pack of wolves in the media/DC/political complex will attack the perceived weakened team member, because it's easier to be successful and because if you are just piling on, there is less chance of counterattack. It's their way to 'thin the herd' of conservatives/Republicans and enemies/jerks-who-don't-return-your-calls. Sometimes it works, sometimes it doesn't.

For the handwringing anti-Iraq-war media and political players, using the armor non-issue as a cudgel against Rumsfeld is transparent. President Bush is onto their game and has never flinched. On the other hand, we are getting a "RINO" stampede started now, with Sen Collins and Coleman getting quoted. And it seems strange Senator Lott isn't clued in to this 'wounded zebra' phenomemon enough to avoid shooting off his mouth. Et tu, former majority leader?


Iraq GI's view on McBagel and Rumsfeld 

As Gomer Pyle would say, "Surprise, surprise."

Hat Tips to Free Republic, NewsMax and Hannity; the right-wing media has a few points to make on McBagel and Media versus Rumsfeld in Iraq Vet: McCain Snubbed the Troops:


Thursday, December 16, 2004

McBagel Strikes Again 

NR on the latest "McBagel Moment". Just to make it perfectly clear, they point out: “The agenda of most of Rumsfeld’s critics is clear: to wound the administration and discredit the war effort.”

A Hero In Fallujah 

Ollie North has a Heroic War Story about Sgt Peralta's last act of heroism: What would you do in such a situation? I don't know if I could summon the courage and selflessness to instantly do what this man did. But I thank God there are men like Sgt Peralta who are like this, protecting our country.

LGF also posted this story, and as usual the subtext is the media is ignoring daily acts of heroism and emphasizing the negative; LGF even has a Kos quote, not worth repeating, that is high-toxicity anti-American-military.


UN Scandal Kills Aid Workers 

Has anyone connected the dots on the money trail? If not, let me be the first:

Iraqi Militants kill aid worker, in this case an Italian named Santoro.

Baathists, formerly in Saddam's regime fund insurgents from Syria

UN s oil-for-food funded Saddam's war chest Conclusion: UN oil-for-food program money is funding and underwriting terrorist murders of aid workers in Iraq. Certainly this puts the idea that this is merely a financial corruption scandal (albeit the biggest in history) in a new light.

Monday, December 13, 2004

The Tipping Point Arrives 

in the GWOT when Arabs understand the situation as we do, as a fight between modern freedom and discredited tyranny and terrorism. A Kuwaiti editor declares: America Will Not Retreat and says: 'Arab Regimes Must Understand the U.S. Administration Supports The Freedom and Rights of the Arabs'. A very encouraging article; the scales are falling from their eyes, the world is changing, and their perceptions must change as well. The ice is breaking.

Against Pessimism 

I got a comment noting my optimism on matters; I consider such optimism realistic, more realistic than the doom-n-gloom that predict 9 out of every 2 disasters that happen. Media-hyped pessimism is almost always wrong because Most fearmongering is bunk.

Why were they making only 450 up-armored Humvees a month? 

Becasue it was law, that's why S.2401, Department of Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2005, SEC. 112. "The procurement of up-armored high mobility multi-purpose wheeled vehicles at a rate up to 450 such vehicles each month."

President Ghazi al-Yawer Calls America a Friend 

"As soon as we have efficient security forces that we can depend on, we can see the beginning of the withdrawal of forces from our friends and partners. And I think it doesn't take years, it will take months." So said Yawer in a BBC interview, in which he criticized Syria and Iran for interfering in Iraqi affairs.

But the media did it again, putting the worst possible spin on comments from an Iraqi leader. The AP headline was: Iraqi Leader Criticizes U.S.-Led Coalition . And what was the great criticism? "Definitely dissolving the Ministry of Defense and the Ministry of Interior was a big mistake at that time," al-Yawer told British Broadcasting Corp. radio. So he points out a controversial decision made in May 2003 and criticized by a number of other people since, from the UN envoy to US politicians. Indeed, this criticism is no worse than Russert can get out of McBagel (Biden, McCain, Hagel) on any given Sunday.

The key point is that President al-Yawer can be correct on this point, while at the same time 100% supporting the coalition's goals and efforts to remake Iraq into a sovereign, free and democratic nation. History will likely record a number of mistakes made by the U.S. in the process of liberating Iraq; I've been unsure if the disbanding of the army was a big mistake, since not doing it would have left the baathists embedded in the security forces. But Yawer makes a good point, in 20/20 hindsight, excluding security officers on an individual basis would have been less disruptive than the sudden disbanding of the whole organization. Was Bremer aware of the consequences? Would he have done differently if he knew a serious insurgency was lurking around the corner?

Yet, a discussion of an 18month-old decision - long since dissected many times and patially reversed 6 months back - seems besides the point in the runup to elections, so why did the media make that their headline? Yawer has expressed his support and gratitude for the effort during his visit to the U.S. recently. This was not reported as widely. Emphasizing the negative is a media preoccupation when it comes to Iraq.

UPDATE (10 minutes later): Right on cue, like they read my mind, here comes another McBagel moment. Who says the news isn't reliable?


Sunday, December 12, 2004

Iraq the Model in America 

Via BuzzMachine, Iraq the Model's Omar and Mohammed in America

blog-browsing tonight, hit the gamut of topics all the way to the root of all questions: God and Morality. More like those here. Ah, time for bed.


A train wreck blogger 

This blog called "The Iraq war is wrong" gets a nomination as a best of blog, and I have just one question: Is it real or is it Satire? It took me a while to 'get it'. This was a comment made: "kinda like a train wreck that you can't tear your gaze away from."

Reporting Rumsfeld's town hall and the armor issue 

Night and day. That's the difference between MSM reporting and the comments of soldiers who were there at Rumsfeld's town hall meeting in Kuwait.

The Rumsfeld 'armor issue' that the MSM concocted out of a soldier's question (one fed to him by a reporter), is the subject of an editorial in today's Austin American Statesman. There annoying editorial says things like "defense department spinners noted that a newspaper reporter planted the Wilson question". Well, the reporter himself crowed about it. (And BTW, if the story was fed by the reporter, it begs a question - was the soldier really hunting in 'landfills'?) The say "The troops in Kuwait .. cheered lustily when Wilson asked it." They also cheered about 11 other times when Rumsfeld spoke, a fact not noted by the newpaper. DoD has weighed in to point out the real situation on the armor:

Each point refutes the Statesman's rant about this being a fiasco. Two thirds of the vehicles in Iraq are up armored. Thin-skinned vehicles are restricted to garrison and other light duty. Production of armor kits went from a 30 a month in 2003 to 450 a month today. The Army has a plan to address the issue, so that every one of 30,000 vehicles in theatre have the armor needed, and they are executing on that plan at a fast clip. New rotating units into Iraq do some of the up-armor work in Kuwait. If this unit was scavenging for parts, they may have been thrifty and versatile, but were likely not forced into it for lack of 'level 3' armor kits.

And so it goes. The issue is getting hashed out in the press - NY Post, blogs - Instapundit, 2 Slick, Blackfive, etc.

Searching out the facts led me to the wonderful MilBlog of Sgt Missick, who was there at Rumsfeld's visit, and has a lot to say. Some excerpts:

Parting shot via Insapundit, who said: Tim Morris emails: "I think it's interesting that everyone seems to be missing the real point - the Secretary of Defense, essentially second only to the President in the civilian portion of the chain of command, was called to account by an enlisted solider, and a low ranking one at that, and he stood there and took it because that's his job."

Well said. I continue to be proud both of the men in uniform and the men who are leading them - officers, commanders, our Secty of Defense, and the CinC himself.


Sunni Parties take the Field 

AP report leads with the violence in Fallujah, but buried in the report is good about moderate Sunni parties fielding slates. Without the blogging of the Fadhil brothers to set us straight, we'd be hard-pressed to even surmise, based on media reporting, that there were pro-democracy Sunnis in Iraq. Of course, our favorite in this election is the Fadhil's Pro-Democracy party, not mentioned in the news; we do wish these idealistic Iraqi bloggers well - they are true patriots for Iraq and democracy both.

The New Dawn of Mideast Peace 

Arafat dies and peace starts breaking out. Intifada is over, says an analyst, and things are much quieter on the Western wall, despite today's violence. PLO chairman Mahmoud Abbas is the front-runner for Palestinian leadership, now that Barghouti has withdrawn his candidacy, and he is mending fences with Kuwait while the Palestinians look forward to elections in January. Polls shows Palestinian attitudes are softening - more want peaceful co-existence with Israel.

On the other side of the fence, Labor is joining Sharon's Government, and a thaw with Egypt is underway: Sharon's spokesman Raanan Gissin said the release of 100 to 200 prisoners would be a gesture to Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak, who freed convicted Israeli spy Azzam Azzam last week and plays a growing role in trying to promote peace talks.

Now, I'm in the Arafat died of AIDS camp, but in the unlikely event he really was poisoned - like Yushchenko was - a nomination for a Nobel peace prize is in order.


Saturday, December 11, 2004

NOW: The Beginning of the Rest of Your Life 

Thought for the day: This moment, right now, is the beginning of the rest of your life. Each moment is a sequence of thoughts, decisions, actions, and emotions. You have the power to change your life by changing those thoughts, decision, actions and emotions, moment by moment. We carry a legacy of our history and our past to the present time. It can be a pedestal or an anchor, but it cannot stop you from remaking the future. The future is closer than you think - it begins NOW.

I am pondering some changes in this blog. What they are is TBD, and I would like you the reader to let me know what you think of the blog. Since June, this blog has been dedicated almost solely to the subject of Liberating Iraq, for a critical reason: I observed that completing the mission of Liberating Iraq was the crucial test for America that would determine our success or failure in defeating terrorism or living with it for decades to come; I felt compelled to respond to the bogus pessimism over Iraq that I feared would convince America to shirk from the duty of completing this mission. Iraq had become most of what I was writing about and obsessing over since the spring, and I recall spending much time in April checking up Belmont Club's post on the Fallujah campaign back then. It was I think Michael Moore's F911 that convinced me to put serious effort and make the 100% focus of the blog be "Liberating Iraq".

The Bush-bashing media full of antipathy towards American power tried mightily this year to sway American voters to vote against the Iraq war and Bush both. This blog (i.e., my position) was fore-square for both staying the course in Iraq and for re-electing Bush. The issues came together and merged in the heat of the campaign, especially when 'flip-flopper' Kerry did a full Howard Dean and made frontal attacks on Bush's Iraq policy. The interests of Bush's political enemies and America's war on terror enemies converged, as I wrote on September 17th:

The battle was joined - and on election day, the battle was won. I also laid out Bush's reelection as one critical element to victory in Iraq, and said that with Bush re-elected, victory in Iraq was in our grasp. Clearly, the reelection of Bush was a statement that America supported determination, resolve and staying the course in Iraq until victory.

Now, the media pessimism that worried me six months back has a different ring to it - it's the useless chattering of naysaying spectators in the peanut gallery. History and events in the next 6 months will pass them by. The elements of victory in Iraq are falling into place: Democracy is being built in Iraq; Iraqi security forces are getting better, albeit at a pace frustrating to those of us used to instant answers; forces that were causing us trouble (like al-Sadr's Mahdi army) have dispersed and been folded into the political process; the insurgency, while killing many Iraqis, has completely failed to gain any kind of following among a population that wants democracy and is horrified by the violence, mayhem and terrorism of the so-called insurgents.

Was the re-election of Bush 'the tipping point' as I predicted several months back? With his re-election followed the Fallujah offensive, which, at a cost of 50 Marine lives, removed perhaps 2,000 insurgents, destroyed the main haven for terrorism, and gave the U.S. and trove of intelligence on the insurgency. I had meant the point at which the matter is decided, and in my opinion, the matter is decided: It is not a matter of if we succeed in Iraq, it is simply a matter of what the cost will be, in treasure and in lives, to guarantee success and stand up Iraq as a free, democratic and independent nation.

That being the case, it's no surprise that I've focussed lately on the costs - the military viewpoints, the soldiers' stories. What they've had to give up, what they are going through. I was determined when I started blogging for this to be an avenue of my expression, but I find myself doing mostly linking and referencing, since my thoughts are already expressed somewhere most of the time, often better than I could (especially when it's Steyn).

After some incredible spikes in readership during the campaign season (thanks to folks like Allahpundit), I find the readership is down to a lower but respectable 100 a day or so. How valuable are my words and what should I focus on? Should I stay with "liberating Iraq" as sole focus, or broaden it to my other interests again? What sorts of posts are best - the 'newsy' posts where I pass on the 'terrorist catch of day' or some pithy WashPost article, or my own OpEds? These are questions to myself and also to you dear reader. Send me email or leave a comment. Help write our future - it begins ... NOW.


The Syria Problem 

Weekly Standard's Bill Kristol beats the drum for "Getting Serious about Syria". The best defense (of Iraq) may be a good offense, but the most sublime victory are those won without battle. Time for new SoS Condi Rice to rise to the challenge of setting Syria's Assad & Co straight.

Army Learns Lessons from Iraq Experience 

Via FR, got linked to this excellent Wall Street Journal article on how the "U.S. Army Rethinks Its Future." It's a great article on how assumptions made prior to the Iraq war about the 'high-tech' nature of future wars were thrown out the window by the Iraqi experience. The blogger 2Slick discusses the article and recounts Col McMaster's impressive resume. This man was a West Point Professor teaching 2Slick - from experience. In February 1991, McMaster led Eagle Troop, Second Armored Cavalry Regiment through some of the most intense fighting in Operation Desert Storm. Now, Col McMaster is set to lead 5,000 men into Iraq next year, and is training his men on the kind of operations his unit can expect to face there. 2Slick comments: Last night, I watched the History channel. Two shows, one on the Iraqi insurgency, and one on the battle of Palo Alto, the first battle of the war between Mexico and United States in 1846. As the documentary told it, wily insurgents were coming up with this or that technique to throw the U.S. off-balance. When they tried something that failed, they died. It went from hit-and-run, to IEDs, to car bombs, to ambushes, to standing battles. Any time they stayed and fought, we'd defeat them. But often after a battle they would just run away and melt back into the population. Lessons have been learned by both sides, and a 'darwinian' process has winnowed out the weak and amateur insurgents, leaving better trained enemies for our soldiers, while our own performance has improved.

In the battle of Palo Alto of 1846, a critical U.S. advantage was the fact that junior officers were trained at West Point, and they thought as they fought, innovating on the battlefield and using the tactics they learned in the classroom. Mobile 'flying' artillery was used to critical effect. The Mexican soldiers were as well-trained, but the leadership was more centralized and brittle (with a poor battle plan for the terrain, to boot). Seeing both shows back to back reminded me that history and heritage gives us a legacy to build on.

Today, that heritage of a well-trained, flexible, innovative officer corps is a critical advantage we have in Iraq. Lessons have been learned the hard way about how to crack the insurgency, and it's within the officer corps all the way down to the platoon level that the learning means most. The enemy has had cycles of learning and so have we. But there is one lesson that is very hard on our enemy - the fact that we stayed. We left Somalia and we left Lebanon, but in Iraq, we are staying. Staying long enough to assure victory is the most important lesson to get right. Lives lost in this war to break that syndrome and to will be saved many times over in years to come.


The Phony Dutch Communist 

In From the Cold: He Was a Communist For Dutch Intelligence. is a great story about a phony leader of a Dutch Communist Party, a ruse to gain intelligence on the Communist Government of China. Here's a funny side-story: Too funny, a radical joined the Communist Party and found out it was all a lie. So what's new here?

IEDs, Humvees, Purple Hearts 

Humvees No Match for Crude Bombs says LA Times, in a piece about a Humvee 'graveyard' of vehicles taken out by IEDs. IEDs, roadside bombs, have been the most lethal weapon against U.S. soldiers. About half of U.S. fatalities have been due to roadside bombs, targetting supply convoys or patrols along highways and roads: We now know the insurgency is far from a crude affair, it was planned by Saddam before the war, is well-funded, and has former Saddam loyalists in the military in its ranks. As a warfare tactic, it was however improvised in the summer of 2003, and unfortunately continues because it works.

In related news, A brave Marine to receive a Purple Heart from President Bush. He was injured when an IED hit the LA-25 he was commanding and "threw the 28,000-pound vehicle into the air and sent shrapnel ripping through the 23-year-old Unity Christian High School graduate." He sustained serious leg and foot injuries:

What would be better though would be to adapt, not just with armor but with military doctrine to defeat the IEDs and insurgency. That's subject of the next post...

Friday, December 10, 2004

Rising Optimism Over Elections 

Good news from Iraq from irrespressible Chrenkoff. Good news on the elections and securities fronts reported. Now Pejmanesque tells us Andrew Sullivan at TNR has gotten more optimistic, largely over the election prospects.

I am in the corner that always felt and knew the elections would be a success. The latest news about the coalition-building slates, the commitment from the Iraqi Government to the deadline, and the strong support of most Iraqis for elections in January validates that confidence. The "delay the vote" ploy fizzled and the 'respectable' Adnan Pachachi went from backing delay to filing for his own bid. Reuters tries to pour cold water on the Shi'ite slate by describing the SCIRI faction as "Iran-linked" (that is hyperbole); it may be taken as a good sign that they don't expect they will have a failed election to describe.

In Zarquawi's loss was Fallujah's gain, Frontpage lectures the media on their previous failure to adequately describe the success. Optimism may be rising, but with the media downplaying the positives of the election, there is still a ways to go. Surely, some in the media will describe the election success as a setback to America plans (it won't be). It will be good news when the 'bad news' is the politics of a democratic Iraq and not the violence of the terrorist insurgency.


A Fallen Soldier's Last Request 

Via FR and BLACKFIVE, a soldier's last request:

Specialist David Mahlenbrock, who wrote this, was killed by an IED on December 3rd in Kirkuk, Iraq.

Specialist David Mahlenbrock will be laid to rest at Arlington National Cemetary on Wednesday, December 15th at 10AM EST. David's family and friends are asking radio stations to play Toby Keith's "American Soldier" on the 15th at 1pm EST with a dedication to Specialist David Mahlenbrock.


Thursday, December 09, 2004

The Warrior Monk 

Hat tip to Laura Ingraham for reading this a few days back, a Washington Post story by Jackie Spinner (posted on Free Republic) about Marine Lance Cpl. June N. Ramos, serving in Iraq:

A Marine Thanksgiving 

Leadership Lessons from Iraq, an inspiring message about caring for your fellow Marine - reason #1 why we have the greatest military in the world.

Questioning Rumsfeld 

Rumsfeld takes soldier's questions in Kuwait. Media has a field day over a question LGF says was a Journalist set-up. But the real story is untold. Here's a question the media hasn't publicized:

And here is an answer except that didn't get media play:


Terrorists surprised to Find Selves in Hell 

I'm paraphrasing the headline from a funny and satirical Onion piece after 9/11. This story about cleaning up Fallujah, has a precious quote that reminded me of how clueless the Jihadists really are about the world: So, they hadn't figured on JDAMs and tanks killing them? They hadn't figured out that sowing violence reaps death and blood and agony? They hadn't calculated that forces would defeat their plots and fight their evil? If we can kill 9 out of 10 and send the tenth one home in tears, gibbering and quivering over how awful it was, we may yet defeat the Jihadist mindset.

Shi'ite Bloc Party 

Iraqi Shi'ites Launch Powerful Election Bloc says Reuters. The news is even better than I had hoped. First, the secular parties have joined and moderated the list. Second al-Sadr's people are in the coalition but NOT on the list, meaning his faction has indeed been absorbed. SCIRI and Dawa hold the high cards: That point about women should allay the fear that the Constitution-writers would be too "Islamic" or lose the protections of religion and status of women that were in the interim Constitution that the CPA developed. There are 275 seats up for grabs - if this coalition wins the majority share, then Allawi (who is aligned with the Dawa party) would likely continue to lead the country, another positive. This bloc also indicates the likely future political configuration of a democratic Iraq, with most power in the hands of the Shi'ite related parties, and Sunni Arab and Kurd faction playing lesser (but in some cases 'swing voter') roles. This announcement is a refutation both of the 'they are not ready for democracy' lament and the fears that radicals or theocrats could gain the upper hand in a democracy. Of course, we won't know until votes are cast, but it is shaping up that center of political gravity is more modern, secular, moderate and pro-democratic than the fearmongers predicted.

This news continues a trend of positive developments on the political front, marred by continued lack of security as the bottleneck to Iraq's future.


Wednesday, December 08, 2004

Foreign ('transnational') Terrorists Nabbed in Baghdad 

RAID PUTS 'SERIOUS DENT' IN TERRORIST EFFORTS IN BAGHDAD, declares CENTCOM:

Another Burning Assessment 

Phew, for a second I was worried, and then I realized it was only the CIA saying Iraq violence will get worse. A leaked classified memo, no less (isn't it an oxymoron for a front page story to talk of 'classified information'?). Not all are as gloomy: The US ambassador to Baghdad, John Negroponte, said the CIA gave too little credit to recent US victories against insurgents. However, the assessments acknowledged that the Iraqi authorities were making important political progress and hailed the "resilience" of the Iraqi people.

It goes without saying that the violence will abate only when the forces creating violence are defeated. Predictions of violence are really only telling us that we haven't won yet. CIA seems to have a keen grasp of the obvious there, like their shocking revelation that Jihadist Islamic terrorism is based on the Quran. ( Admitteldy, some of statements in this article may shock a few lulled by 'religion of peace' mantras: "Of the 6,000 or more mosques in North America, 80 per cent are radical in orientation and devoted to spreading an intolerant Wahabi strain of Islam. They are funded by Saudi Arabia, he said.")

Now, the victory in Fallujah has given us greater insight on the Syrian roots of the insurgency that explains further why it has been persistent:

While we defeat terrorists in detail in tactical actions, and while we have gained by removing their main safe haven in Fallujah, the strategic configuration will have to change further for us to truly win against the enemy. we cannot defeat the insurgency fully without ripping it up by the roots. At the current time, 3 out of 18 provinces are at issue, most of the remainder are peaceful now that the Shiite front has closed down and become a political process issue.

Here's what is needed: (a) More troops (Iraqi or coalition or both), (b) Sealing the Syrian border, (c) greater intelligence (through more offensive operations that capture the enemy), (d) political changes and process to peel away tribal and Sunni support for the baathist-funded insurgency and terrorism. This, balanced with reconstruction progress and economic progress, would win the war. Ultimately, we have to rip the insurgency up by the roots and cut the tree from those roots.

The main area of legitimate pessimism would be in the continuing difficulty in 'standing up' large scale Iraqi forces to defend Iraq from the insurgency. A new graduating class of Iraqi counter-terrorism forces is proof we are making progress. Too many of the Iraqi forces have been rendered ineffective by the effective techniques of the terrorists: Good officers are assassinated and bad ones are 'turned' via threats, bribes or pre-existing sympathies. It's clearly been not enough to simply take old soldiers (Fallujah Brigade), or just put some men into uniform (early ICDC units, that basically fled when violence erupted). We have had to train up a solid force. It's happening, gradually:

Whatever the current difficulties, we are going in the right way. If it was easy, we'd be done by now. It's not; it's hard. When we succeed, the task will be remembered as easier and more certain of success than we think it to be now. That's the nature of things.

Monday, December 06, 2004

Shiite parties unite for elections  

Shiite parties unify for January elections, reports Wash Post: Sistani Backs List for Parliamentary Vote Sistani's party is SCIRI. If SCIRI does this successfully they have effectively absorbed the al-Sadr faction (who got 30 names on the 240 name list) and a number of smaller factions. That means some fire breathers in the ranks but they are a minority.

THIS IS GOOD NEWS. Democracy naturally moderates things; democratic politics tends to migrate the balance of power to the middle. The 'middle' here is the balance between religious and secular parties. Sistani has once again proven himself to be both a moderating force and politically astute. He understands that there is strength in unity and so he has gathered a coalition, that will support his agenda. Fortunately, his agenda is pro-democracy and for peace and the building of civil society in Iraq. He is not a secularist but neither is he seeking Iranian style theocracy.

This move is a huge boost to the elections and will put more momentum towards other groups conerging to build coalitions.


Iraqi President Ghazi al-Yawar in America 

He came with a clear message, similar to Allawi's message in September. Thank you -"we in Iraq appreciate very much all the assistance and all the sacrifices that the American people are making for us in Iraq." The terrorists are illegitimate. Stick to election date - "I think the worst thing to do is to postpone elections. This will give a tactical victory to the insurgents, to the forces of darkness." And we need to complete the job. Extended excerpts follow.

President Ghazi al-Yawar on Meet the Press:

President and Iraqi Interim President Al-Yawer Discuss Iraq Future on December 6th:

Arab attitude adjustment 

Someone emailed a link to a depressing and biased "we're losing" article to me, from a leftie UK newspaper. That biased article definitely deserves a barf alert.

First, the headline is all wrong - this is about the Arab World, not the mindset of Iraqis. As many Iraqi bloggers Have pointed out, it is night-and-day the difference in views. Iraqis hated Saddam and many are grateful for US intervention To remove him. Polls are showing 85% support for elections in Iraq, And the terrorists in Iraq are succeeding in creating fear, but Not necessarily converts. They are condemned by many Iraqi segments of society. Non-Iraqis have a palestinian-centric mindset on this. Arab tyrants Are better than western benevolence in their ignorant view. You almost want to tell them: "Lay off the hashish, Ahmed".

Second, the article doesn't even mention the authors. It claims this is a Pentagon report, but in fact the Defense Advisory Board is an outside board. A who on the board is writing this? How are we to interpret these selective quotes?

It is not news that the Al Jazeera propaganda machine beats The US efforts at shaping attitudes in the mideast. That is because we Barely even try, and the task of changing deeply embedded views Based on 14 centuries of bigotry and absolutism is too great. The idea that these attitudes are somehow new is bunk. They are As old as Islam itself. Should we worry? Do we worry if rapists Have more negative attitudes about rape victims who fight back?

But for Arabs to increasingly be skeptical of their own tyrannies is not a 'failure' but a success. That is exactly what Bush called for, for the Arab world to question their own tyrannical Governments. And Bush called our long-standing support for tyrannies in the region a mistaken policy going forward. He's called for Democracy in the middle east. And Iraqis, among others, want exactly that.

It's not surprising that once again journalists selectively quote a report to make Bush administration look bad. But dig a little deeper, And you find that the real lesson the report is trying to impart Is a bit different: Many Arabs have awful attitudes about the world and the U.S., and the DoD/USA needs To pro-actively work to shape those attitudes or the Jihadist clerics Will do it for us.

If that was the intent of that report, I'd have to agree. Blogs for victory!


Sunday, December 05, 2004

Who is winning in Iraq?  

Some thought prompted by the statements by Sen Biden.

How can one make sense of the mix of good and bad - progress towards elections with the insurgency still active? Clearly, there is still a powerful and violent minority (of baathist and Jihadist terrorists and insurgents) for simply destroying Iraq's hopes for democracy. They hate American involvement more than they love Iraqi freedom and peace.

Fallujah indeed broke the insurgency's organization in al-Anbar province, but it has either scattered the insurgents or alerted them to higher levels of violence. But note a few details: No new spate of kidnappings, and coalition military claims the volume of attacks has gone down by a factor of 2. So while they can commit violence still, but we rolled back their central rallying point, and the latest attacks might be viewed as their "Ardennes Forest" attack, the final desperate measures to regain the offensive before they lose it forever.

Strategically, the key elements are the standing up of Iraqi forces (not so good but getting better, with key areas of superb performance - like the IIF), and the elections (on track). The insurgency is now cornered into a Sunni reactionary faction and a Jihadist faction. It is failing politically and succeeding only on the level of creating death and fear.

Optimistically, the way forward would be this: An election will puncture the illusion that the insurgency has a future and a sway over the people. By March 2005, we will win this.

Pessimistically, the spiral downward would be breakdown in the Iraqi security forces. Our military can fight and win any engagement, but the frustration is in seeing places we secured go back into insurgent control because the Iraqi police aren't strong enough to secure them. All the more reason why the insugency continues to attack police stations, Iraqi guardsmen, and other Iraqis. There's is a campaign attempting to isolate the U.S. forces.


Allawi's dedication to the January 30th elections 

I previously made some comments about Allawi. Prime Minister Allawi - like Bush - is a clear, straightforward and unshirking leader. He is clear about his commitment to the elections in January (now only 8 weeks away): "The forces of darkness and terrorism will not benefit from this democratic experience and will fight it," Ayad Allawi told The Associated Press. "But we are determined that this experiment succeeds."

This was quote in an AP article by HAMZA HENDAWI.


Soldiers for the Truth 

Soldiers for the Truth has an interesting article on Information as a Weapon of War. The media is aghast that the U.S. dares plays information games of deception and use ruses, for example, the announcement of Fallujah offensives that were 'false-start' disinformation fed via CNN. The SFTT columnist retorts: I agree, both that it is a good idea and that the media will continue to complain about it. And the author makes the correct point that this information warfare needs to be taken to the strategic level. "Shaping the battlefield" needs to go to the level of "shaping the informational battlefield": The new ways of war put a premium on information in all its forms and ways, starting with the belief system of the enemy which supports their will to fight.

Assassination plot against Allawi foiled 

The news reports are frustratingly obtuse about what happened, but let me go out on a limb here and suggest plainly: Ansar Al-Islam tried to kill Allawi. Three Ansar al-Islam members were arrested (and a fourth let go) in connection with this plot, by Greman authorities.

Foiling this saved us and Iraq from a huge setback. Allawi has projected the strength and confidence needed to carry Iraq through this time of terrorism and troubles to a better era of democracy and peace for Iraq.


News Update - Fear, Uncertainty, Death 

In the news business, if it bleeds, it leads, and this weekend was a bloody one in Iraq, 70 Iraqis killed. The terrorists are persevering to derail democracy by attacking and killing Iraqi police, ING soldiers, and civilians. 4 U.S. soldiers also were killed. This weekend was similar to the spasm of violence in early September.

Although the coalition has flushed the terrorists out of many towns, the campaign of intimidation by the terrorist insurgency continues. It's what terrorism's political goal ultimately is: Fear. Fear in Baghdad described how killing of civilians and threats are wearing on the people: "There was anxiety, fear and some kind of sense that they were being threatened," recalled Hussein, describing the mood in the classroom. "That is how the insurgency works. They're trying to strike psychological fear into the hearts of the people."

An example is given of pro-terrorist/ pro-Jihadist graffiti, and also the example of murdering barbers who shave western-style:

Another example is the act of driving from one place to another. USA Today reports on how the Baghdad Airport road has been so dangerous it is now closed for westerners.

Mohammed from Iraq the Model rides the death road that passes through Latifriyah, and has been the scene of murders of Shiite clerics, kidnappings of westerners and some Iraqis, and a large amount of violence:

His travel from Samawah to Baghdad ends happily and safely, with him relieved to see the signs on the road that declare: "The terrorists destroyed the bridge and we have rebuilt it", "Death to terrorism…long live the peace", "Long live the heroes of the ING, the loyal sons of Iraq"... and most importantly: "Your voice is as precious as gold. No, it's more than that!"

Elections are the way out of this mess, and for any UN envoy to suggest delaying elections is a solution is proof again of the UN's misguided priorities. Mr Brahimi defended Saddam a dozen years ago as head of the Arab League and now he carries water for the baathist terrorist paymasters that were Saddam's core supporters.

This is now solely a Sunni insurgency. To underscore this point, it's reported that Moqtada Sadr joins Sistani’s election list. This means that Sistani's men are trying to build a larger coalition for the Islamic Shiite parties to join. I'm not sure what to think of this. al-Sadr has indeed joined the political process, but certainly we'd hope he fades into oblivion.


Friday, December 03, 2004

Good News/Bad News on the Insurgency 

Order in Iraq's chaos The article is claiming that the insurgency is reshaping into the Sunni political force, rather than the 'unholy alliance' that included foreign fighters and terrorist groups, and as such may be more amenable to negotiation and entering into the political arena. But in the meantime the insurgency's setbacks and the urgency of derailing the election make them desperate, and the ongoing external funding from baathist paymasters and organization from former Saddam military make them capable. Hence the bloody days like Friday - raids on police stations, bombs, and firefights with the terrorist insurgency.

53 Insurgents nabbed 

IRAQI SECURITY FORCES AND MNF-I NAB 53 INSURGENTS IN NORTHERN IRAQ. A deck of cards, and one joker.

Mideast Arabs for Bush 

A Liberal American teacher in the middle east says: "a surprising number of Arabs seem to have not only expected President George W. Bush's return to power but also supported it." You may be surprised at which country she discovered this in.

Writing the story on the battle of Fallujah 

Installments from Tom Lassater's series on the fight for Fallujah, part 6, and part 5: Some on FR have commented that the journalist has an anti-war agenda. The enemies get 'respect' (quotes like "U.S. troops marveled at the tenacity of insurgents") but our fighters are not described as heroes in these pieces. They fight, kill, die and the picture is one of intense combat and almost senseless violence, focussed on the cost and not the cause.

I see it differently. Whatever the author's motivation, the intensity of the fight, painted vividly, shows how heroic our marines and soldiers are. This was perhaps the toughest battle for our Marines since the similar urban combat of retaking Hue City in 1968. The Marines performed admirably and won a significant victory. The horrors that we found amongst the insurgent hideouts validates that this was and is a fight against evil.

It's not the journalists who are writing the story on Fallujah and on Iraq, but the men and women in uniform and their counterparts in the coalition, and among the Iraqi security services. Every day they write the book.


Wednesday, December 01, 2004

Syria's Terrorist-supporting Trail to Iraq 

An insurgency requires recruits and funding to survive. In Daily Telegraph's "All aboard the terrorists' bus to Iraq" story, the money and men trail from Damascus to Iraq is illustrated. This is a serious threat to Iraq that is keeping the insurgency alive: I hate Vietnam analogies, but this sounds like the Ho Chi Minh trail (the Saddam Hussein trail?) of the war - vital sustenance to keep the insurgency going.

War Stories 

Some Stories from soldiers in Fallujah. See these FR articles as well.

Kiowa Firefight in Tal Afar 

Army Times (via FR) account of the Tal Afar firefight on September 4th. "the soldiers of 5-20 said the mission to recover the downed Kiowa and its two injured pilots was the most intense fight they had encountered since deploying to Iraq in December 2003."

It started out this way:

The insurgents were looking for a 'Blackhawk Down' incident and were coordinate attacks to make it so. And our soliders saved it from becoming a black mark on our forces, through courage under fire, grit, fast thinking, well-placed JDAMs, TOW missiles. The account is gripping. Troops in one company fought through alleyways to get to the crash site to protect another outnumbered platoon securing the area. In the end we were victorious in this firefight: "Troops with B Company had killed 66 enemies and the Scout Platoon killed 46, Reed said. There were also 17 enemy wounded." No coalition KIA, five wounded. ... and no video for Al Jazeera. File this as another forgotten victory.

This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?